Designing Scenarios for the Development of the Teaching Profession Based on Future Research

Document Type : Scientific - Research


1 PhD in Curriculum Planning, Department of Educational Sciences, Faculty of Educational Sciences, Birjand University, Birjand, Iran

2 Associate Professor, Department of Educational Sciences, Faculty of Educational Sciences, Birjand University, Birjand, Iran


Objective: The purpose of this study is to identify the main factors and map out scenarios that are credible and desirable for the professional development of teachers in South Khorasan Province.n
Materials and Methods: This research is of applied type and it has been done with new methods of future research (Delphi and scenario). Also, the methods of collecting field information are documentary and library. Mick Mac software and Wizard scenario were used to analyze the indicators and variables. The statistical population consisted of 30 professional development specialists including teachers, experts, and education managers who were selected purposefully (criterion-based). The criterion of purposefulness is a master's degree and at least 15 years of service.m
Results and Conclusion: The results of this study showed that 13 main factors are effective in the professional development of teachers in South Khorasan province. These factors include the development of teachers' abilities in individual and social roles, scientific developments, the position of teachers in society, the level of cooperation and interaction with teachers and professionals, the development of cognitive and self-learning abilities, motivational status and interest in jobs, the development of school culture and professional ethics, government and public financial support for teachers and schools attention to specialization, technology development, social media, media literacy, school reliance, attention to effectiveness, and the development of communication (local, national, and international). These factors led to 39 possible situations based on scenario analysis. After analyzing the possible situations, 6 plausible scenarios and 3 scenarios with a strong probability of occurrence in the professional development of South Khorasan province were identified.y


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